17,279.94 All-time record close
17,152 Breakdown point
17,015
16,900 50 days moving average
16,775 1 Year Positive Trend line, 20DMA
DJ Support: 16,588 Strong 2013 peak, 200DMA
16,320 Strong April low
16,015 Very strong
15,850 Very strong
Technical Analysis:
Market run down directly until it got its strong support at DJ16, 015 and hence it has made a spectacular bounce up. Dow Jones Industrial Average exceeded DJ16, 588, 2013 peak and 200 days moving average, which means that the index is in stabilization area. We have to pay attention if the index stays over that level to continue stabilizing.
The market is almost repeating the September-October 2013
pattern. You can see it in the 2 years daily chart.
DJIA penetrated DJ16, 015 support twice but immediately
bounced up and closed the trading day over that level. The closing of the day
is very important to analyse the bounce up and to check the damage in the
charts. That means that the DJIA actually attracted buyers in the indicated
support.
The trend in the short term is still to the downside and in
the long run the bull market is still in play.
Please click over te chart to enlarge itFundamentals:
The U.S. earnings season and the rumor, that the European Central Bank is going to buy private bonds to introduce more liquidity into the market to avoid disinflation, are driven the market to the upside.
Just Monday October 19th, was the 1987 crash anniversary but this time the DJIA went up forming a clear candlestick hammer. It make me happy because I remembered those terrible days in 1987 when investors tried to sell their positions.
The earnings season as catalyzer has supported the market and turned it up. There are a lot of complications in the world economy, U.S.A. is doing well but not the European Union, China, Japan nor emerging markets. Geopolitical is heavy. Then, I think the market is going to be volatile and going to the up and downside.
Dear traders and investors, we are still in October and market participants are very superstitious, we are not navigating in calm waters. Therefore, probably we are going to face extreme movements in the next days. The important is DJIA to stay over DJ16,588 for the stabilization and to have chances for the Thanksgiving Rally.
Good luck, viel Glueck, buona fortuna, buena suerte, bonne chance!
Ulises
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