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miércoles, 2 de marzo de 2016

Dow Jones breaking out crucial resistance

DJ Resistance:  18,351      All-time high
                           18,206      Breakout
                           18,104      2014 peak
                           17,978      November 2015 peak
                           17,810
                           17,579      Inflection point
                           17,200      200 days moving average
                           17,125      Old support
                           17,050      Strong old support
                           16,933.43 2015 September 2015 peak

DJ Support:      16,667      Very strong
                           16,468
                           16,200      Light
                           15,980      Strong
                           15,766      January closing low
                           15,450      Strong
                           15,370.33 Very strong 2015 low

Technical Analysis:
Finally DJIA broke up the resistance at DJ16,667 and slept over it. These are positive for the bulls, they can expect chart repairs for the next up leg. The same is for S&P when it broke up resistance at SP1,950. The DJIA backdrop is stronger than S&P.
Next DJIA resistance is the DJ16,933.43 to 17,125 panning and it should be harsh. S&P equivalent is SP1,993 (December low).
We can conclude that mid-term direction has shifted bullish if DJIA stays and sleeps over DJ16,667 but long term is still leaning-bearish for the three indexes.

Please click over the charts to enlarge them.



 Fundamentals:
DJIA is bouncing up and bulls try to maintain the momentum. We will get very important economic news this week like ISM-non manufacturing on Thursday.  ADP employment, beige book, factory orders, productivity, non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate among others. These news are going to drive the market this and next week. Corporate earnings are weak but in the discounted figures.
Dear traders and investors, it is the time for the bulls technically. Personally, I think this could be a good bounce but data indicates me that this is not enough to visit the all-time high. In summary, this week economic news will drive the markets.

 Good luck, viel Glueck, buona fortuna, buena suerte, bonne chance!
Ulises              

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