DJ Resistance: 18,668 All-time high
18,470
18,351 Old all-time high
18,247 August low
18,171 April peak
DJ Support: 17,995 Prior 18,016 strong support
17,700
17,579 August 2015 Inflection point
17,433
17,125 Very strong
16,933.43 Strong September 2015 high
16,667 Inflection point
16,520
15,980 Very strong
15,450 Strong
15,370.33 Very strong 2015 low
Technical Analysis:
DJIA has an important support at DJ18,016, it has worked and the low before the bounce up was DJ17,995. The S&P equivalent is SP2,117, the index stopped down at SP2,119. The bounce up was at DJ18,351 that is the old all-time high and the old support that was broken in its way to DJ18,016. The S&P did the same movement to its breakdown at SP2,159. Both are inflection points and sleep over them will show bullish bias. If the supports at DJ17,995 and SP2,117 broke down, the bias will shift.
The downdraft of September is important and we have to consider the damage that it has inflicted in the charts. Only if the DJIA and S&P return over DJ18,351 and SP2,159, the damage in the charts will be erased.
The price action is technical and it should consolidate. The long term trend is still leaning-bullish.
Please click over the chart to enlarge it.
Fundamentals:
September is scary after the last four days movement. It confirms the statistic that September is the worst month of the year for the stocks.
Market is pending about the interest rates, some are expecting the increase of them next week after the FED meeting, other for December. We have seen that the bond yields have increased from last week. Please, reread my last weak blog where we can see the disappointed data of the U.S.A. economy, especially the ISM Services and Manufacturing. These negative data should reverse.
It seems that this volatility will stay until next FOMC next week.
Dear traders and investors, Presidential elections, interest rates hike and data is weighting in the market. My opinion is that the odds of the bull market should continue and be prepared to sail in rough seas.
Good luck, viel Glueck, buona fortuna, buena suerte, bonne chance!
Ulises
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