DJ Resistance: 20,155 New all-time high
20,100.91 Record close
DJ Support: 19,770 50 Days moving average
19,732
19,678 January closing low
19,200 Strong
19,090
18,800
18,668 Old all-time high
18,247 August low
18,000 Strong
17,833.23 November low
17,579 Inflection point
17,125 Strong
Technical Analysis:
The three indexes are in the highs. DJIA did a new all-time high. What we don't see is a frankly follow through.
The DJIA as the other two indexes are very well supported and they have a clearly up trend barring a breakdown of the support. S&P is fighting with SP2,300 and its all-time high is SP2,300.99 and the record close at SP2,298.37.
Click over the chart to enlarge it.
Fundamentals:
The new administration plans to stimulate the economy with "Buy american and hire American" (Trump's motto during the campaign) and investing for recovery and developping U.S.A. infrastructure. The average age of the fixed assets owned by the goverment was 24 years in 2015. To achive that the goverment thinks that they need one trillion dollras. Democrats proposed the same idea in 2015 and 2016. It seems that the path to get this project differs in the way, democrats wants to do through the goverment investment and Trump administration wants through APP (Asociation of Private Public). This project includes repair & replacement of aging bridges and motorways, upgrading electricity networks and water systems, repairing and fixing outdated dams and river locks, building railways and airports. Trump wants to recover the domestic manufacturing. All these in practice should be positive for the country and its economy.
Economic news are acceptable like corporate earnings during this season. Why is there not a follow through over DJ20,000 and S&P2,300? UNCERTAINTY. The market is taken as positive the first measurements taken by the new administration but the uncertainty of how will it be implemented and their future results is stopping an explosive follow through.
Dear traders and investors, the mood and the expectations are clearly supporting the upside bias of the market but we need to take some defensive measures in our portfolio due these big uncertainties.
Good luck, viel Glueck, buona fortuna, buena suerte, bonne chance!
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