DJ Resistance: 21,169 All-time high
21,000
20,850 Gap closed
20,758
20,665 50 Days moving average
20,620 20 Days moving average
DJ Support: 20,410 March low
20,125 January peak
20,000 Very strong
19,800
19,732
19,678 January low
19,290 200 Days moving average
19,200
18,800
18,668 Old all-time low
18,247 August high
18,000
17,833.23 November low (Trump rally)
17,579 Inflection poin
17,125 Very strong
Technical Analysis:
Big battle below 50 days moving average, DJ20,665 and SP2,353. Next important supports are DJ20,410 (March low) and DJ20,000. For S&P are SP2,322 and SP2,300.
We are witnessing an April downturn in the stock market but important supports as explained are working. There are damages, for example DJIA and S&P are below 50 days moving average, but indexes are contained over its supports. The consolidation phase is in the way and the market needs to breakout the negative trend line and close over it to. The negative trend line and the support line formed at DJ20,410 could be forming a bullish triangle. We will see!
DJIA and S&P are still bullish-leaning barring the violation of DJ20,000.
Please click over the chart to enlarge it.
Fundamentals:
Finally earnings season arrived, that could be the fuel to look for the all-time high. Until this moment the results are mixed to negative.
Last week was negative for the market and on Monday we got a bounce, DJIA lost 113.64 points on Tuesday. The interpretation of that could be that the bounce was a dead cat's bounce and the market will continue forming a lower leg or the supports are tested by the bears. DJIA and S&P are closing below its 50 days moving average during 4 consecutive days which is a sign of more downside in the short term.
Dear traders and investors, in my opinion the DJIA is in a consolidation phase as I have explained in my prior blogs where I have indicated that the all-time high is far away. The risk is a weak May if the corporate earnings are not as expected and if the geopolitical complications remain. The trend in the mid-term is to the upside and the short term could be bearish therefore the long and mid-term investors should stay long and buying into the dips.
Good luck, viel Glueck, buona fortuna, buena suerte, bonne chance!
Jay Bharat spurts on stellar Q4FY17 net profit.
ResponderEliminarCapitalstars