DJ Resistance: 25,479.38 New all-time high
DJ Support: 25,112 Near terme support
24,876 Strong, 2017 peak
24,820 20 Days moving average
24,715.90 Strong, lower band of old range
24,500
24,172 50 Days moving average
24,100
23,950
23,600
23,500 Gap upside
23,480 Gap downside
23,250 Strong
23,174 Gap
23,002 Strong, gap
22,890
22,795
22,420 Strong, breakout
22,280 200 Days moving average
22,119
22,000
21,912
21,600
21,535 July peak
21,115
20,800
20,590
20,400 Strong
20,125 January 2017 peak
19,732
19,672 January 2017 low
Technical Analysis:
S&P, DJIA and NASDAQ Composite are again in new record territories, due of this it is difficult to chart them. Possible immediate supports are DJ25,000 and DJ24,876 2017 peak.
They are showing a clear and firmly bull trend in the mid and long term. DJIA and S&P are overbought in the short term and should have a consolidation phase. We look at 20 days moving average as a good support for this phase in the short term. The three indexes are over the 20, 50 and 200 days moving average. That is a strong bull signal.
2018 has started with the bulls in control and with positive perspectives.
Please click over the chart to enlarge it.
Fundamentals:
The stock market is doing new all-time highs. 2018 started with great expectations for the stock market, global economy and consumption.
Earnings season is open and market has high hopes about the results. The official open is for January 17th. with Alcoa's report (AA). Earnings season is regularly volatile and maybe this time more with the new estimates that are coming to the market.
The tax cut is now a Law not an expectation that is important because the tax cuts are going to be seeing in the profits/loss of the corporations. In my opinion the corporate earnings expected in this season don't reflect this new situation. Analysts are beginning to estimate that impact in the corporations.
The Congress has until January 19th. to agree on Spending Bill other way the Government could be shut down. Democrats and republicans have to agree. That brings volatility to the financial markets due the uncertainty.
Geopolitical is calm at the moment
Dear traders and investors, 2018 started with a nice mood. I expect a good year based in the economy, corporate earnings and consumption. The volatility could retrace the market or consolidates it. Let's see 2018!
Good luck, viel Glueck, buona fortuna, buena suerte, bonne chance!
Ulises
Indian Oil Corp (IOC) bought its third shipload or cargo of US crude oil as it looks at cheaper alternatives that have emerged due to the global supply Glut.
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