DJ Resistance: 26,616.71 All-time high
26,000
25,912 20 Days moving average
25,500
25,079 50 Days moving average
25,000
DJ Supports: 24,876 2017 peak
24,715.90 Support of old range
24,500
24,100
23,950
23,600
23,500 Gap upside
23,480 Gap downside
23,250 Strong
23,174
23,002 Strong, gap
22,890
22,795
22,740 200 Days moving average
22,420 Strong, breakout
22,119
22,000
21,912
21,600
21,535 July peak
Technical Analysis:
Big damages were made in the down correction from recently highs. The bulls need to repair the charts if they still wants new all-time highs.
DJIA and S&P have broken down important supports like DJ25,904, DJ24,100, 20 and 50 days moving average, and 2017 peak. The last bounce up could stop the correction.
DJIA has done a 10% correction from the all-time high DJ26,616.71. The 10% correction market at DJ23,954.
DJIA and S&P need to form an extended base to look for a new leg that will send the market for a new all-time high.
The indexes are trending to lower levels and repairs are pending before to take the way to new all-time highs.
Please click over the chart to enlarge it.
Fundamentals:
The market is going down and up, this is a correction 10% in the DJIA and 9.2 in the S&P. The weakest index is NASDAQ Composite.
The economy is doing very well, the tax cut will generate better corporate profits in the big, mids and small ones.
This panic is about inflation coming from possible higher salaries, we know that interest rates will be raised three times this year and the market fears a runaway inflation.
On February 8th. we have the dateline for the Spending Bill, this is tomorrow. There is no agreement in the Congress until now.
I find this correction very healthy because it will put the stock market prices in their fair value. The correction was needed to forma a solid base before the next leg up looking for the new all-time high. I understand that it is hard to go through the correction phase when you have bought at a higher price or when you how you have lost the price profit in your positions. For me these times are nice opportunities to increase the positions at good prices and you will see more volume coming to the market, they are the investors who lost the last movements to the upside, this is really healthy.
Dear traders and investors, it is difficult to feel great during these days in the stock and bond markets. I ask you to be calm and look for the market opportunities, remember I was calling for a correction or profound consolidation phase before the next leg up. Financial market are very difficult to foresee but in this case we have a solid economy, excellent corporate earnings and stable consumption. All these are rational not a story from a fortune teller. Are we out of the woods? Actually I don't know but we will and i am still positive with the stock market.
Good luck, viel Glueck, buona fortuna, buena suerte, bonne chance!
Ulises
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