DJ Resistance: 26,616.71 All-time high
26,000
25,800.35
25,500
25,309 50 Days moving average
DJ Support: 24,876 2017 peak
24,719 2017 close
24,715.19 Support of old range
24,500
24,100
23,950
23,600
23,500 Gap upside
23,480 Gap downside
23,250 Strong
23,174
23,089 200 Days moving average
23,002 Strong, Gap
22,890
22,795
22,420 Strong, breakout
22,119
22,000
21,912
21,600
21,535 July peak
Technical Analysis:
The 2017 peak area has acted as support for DJIA and S&P. It has been reconfirmed as a strong support.
The range DJ24,719 (2017 close) and 24,876 (2017 peak) is the strong support for DJIA. The 50 days moving average at DJ25,245 was violated and now is acting as resistance at DJ25,309.
March start is volatile, DJIA and S&P have survived the test of the support at the 2017 peak and close.
A triangle is forming on the daily chart.
We conclude that the charts are irregular and the recovery attempt is still in the charts. The trend continues to be bullish although the last corrections.
Please click over the chart to enlarge it.
Fundamentals:
Some Trump's decisions are creating uncertainties in the financial markets. Uncertainty is terrible for these markets but that passed because what actually counts is the fundamental strength: economy and earnings.
Q4 earnings season was excellent, 2017 PBI growth was 2.5% and expectations for 2018 are 3% or more and it would be the best from 2005. FED Chairman Jerome Powell is enthusiastic around the U.S. economy in my opinion that explains what he mentioned about a possible 4th. rate hike in 2018. This backdrop puts us on the brilliant path.
Consumer Confidence index is at 130 from 2000 is the highest level. Consumer spending maintains a solid pace.
Certainly all of this boost a healthy economy. As I have explained the market is basing before the next leg up. This new base has to be solid and has have digested all the doubts about the spectacular market hike of 2017. My question is if DJ23,250 almost the low of this correction is the low boundary. In my opinion yes but we have to confirm it. I find the S&P well supported right now at SP2,700. This backdrop puts us on a brilliant path.
Dear traders and investors, I am still optimistic with the stock market and I think that the strategy is to continue to buy on the dips.
Good luck, viel Glueck, buona fortuna, buena suerte, bonne chance!
Ulises
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