Pullback?
DJ resistance : 15.709.58 historical high
15.475
15.302 50day MA (moving average)
DJ support : 15.050
14.800
14.550
14.400 Strong
14.400 Strong very important
Technical analysis :
The DJ index got its historical highest level last week 15.709.58 and closing at 15.676.94 on September 18th. The DJ index needs a weekly closing over those levels to reconfirm the positive trend.
The market trend still points higher. The monthly chart from 1988 shows positive besides the positive trend line and channel on the daily chart from March 2009.
But there is a risk, if you watch the daily chart in the last six months, you are going to realise that the DJ could be forming a triple top that is very negative or a clear range between 14.400 and 15.709.58.
Fundamentals :
The DJ is losing streaks in the last five days because the possible goverment shutdown overriding the better than expected economic news.
Besides, the debt ceiling theme is for October. The QE worries are translated to October 29th. in the next FOMC. The market perceive the Syria fears softer.
It is clear that some of the key factors of the almost five years bull market have been the high liquidity level from QE, the corporate rationalisation and reestructuration, they are more efficient and solid.
We have to pay attention on Thursday to weekly jobless claims, consumer spending, PCE price index, and on Friday to personal income, University of Michigan consumer sentiment index.
We conclude the DJ is in a positive trend, I am still optimistic with the stock matket, we are facing risks but life is a risk.
I am trying to include charts to show you the support of our conclusion and you could use them to navigate in these hectic market.
Dear traders and investors my goal is to assist you in our solitude property in decision-making in our profession,
Good luck, viel Glueck, buona fortuna, buena suerte, bonne chance!
Ulises
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