DJ Resistance: 18,351 All-time high
18,206 Breakdown
18,104 2014 peak
17,978 High before pullback
17,810 Light
DJ Support: 17,658 Light
17,579 August breakdown
17,576 200 days moving average
17,125 Light
17,050 Very strong
16,933.43 September high
16,667 Breakdown very strong
16,460 Light
15,980 Very strong
15,651.24 Important
15,370.33 Very strong
Technical Analysis:
The market pullback was overdue, why? Because, watch the chart, the "W" target was attempted the day when the high was DJ17,978.
The stock market normally after the hectic October takes a rest until Thanksgiving or Christmas.
What is important is the strong support at DJ17,579 (August breakdown and prior strong support) and DJ17,576 (200 days moving average). The market can consolidate over those supports during these two weeks or until Christmas to try its way up again.
The consolidation over DJ16,933.43-17,050 will maintain a bullish bias for the long run.
Please click over the chart to enlarge it.
Fundamentals:
The jobs report on Friday was very positive and worked in favor for the rate hike in December. The last earnings season is neutral, maybe more positive than negative. Besides, higher interest rates will strengthen the U.S. Dollar. This backdrop is mixed, consumers are going to be big players in the U.S. economy, the exports could fall and we could see a portfolio rotation during the consolidation.
Dear traders and investors, we got a nice rally in the last five weeks, it is time for healthy consolidation and to rest. I suggest you to do the same. We are going to follow the market trying to catch if we are going to have the Thanksgiving rally. This year is not easy, I think traders, investors and public in general are tired. All of them will try to do the year in these last two months and to do mistakes would be easy. Take a week for rest!
Good luck, viel Glueck, buona fortuna, buena suerte, bonne chance!
Ulises
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