DJ Resistance: 18,351 All-time high
18,206 Breakout
18,104 2014 peak
17,978 November peak
17,810
17,579 Inflection point
17,322 200 Days moving average
17,125 Old support
17,050 Old strong support
16,933.43 September peak
16,667 Very strong
16,468
16,200 Light
DJ Support:
15,980 Strong
15,766 January closing low
15,450 Strong
15,370.33 Very strong 2015 low
Technical Analysis:
DJIA went down and before DJ15,450 support bounced up and began a possible rally closing today at DJ16,196. Next crucial resistance is at DJ16,468 and the gauge bear-bull resistance is at DJ16,667, S&P equivalent is SP1,950. Over that resistance the bulls can dream about charts repairs and new leg up. The 2016 financial markets plunge has generated a mayor technical damages on the charts.
DJ15,980 is again a strong support.
In the short term the DJIA is looking to bounce up and is bearish-leaning in the long term. Bulls needs to bring DJIA over DJ16,667 to try to change the trend.
The one year daily chart has a potential triple bottom.
Please click over the chart to enlarge it.
Fundamentals:
The market's bounce is due to the 4 oil export country decision to freeze the oil production. It generated an increase in the oil price of 12%, it got over U.S.$31.- per barrel in the last days. DJIA bounced up 2 Monday) and 1.39% (Tuesday). Oil stocks gained 2.5%. What does the difference between 12% oil prices increase versus oil stocks 2.5% increase mean? Investors think that the oil up move is limited in a small period of time.
We have to pay attention about the U.S.Dollar strength because it will limit U.S. exports and the U.S. corporation's dividends repatriate to U.S.A.
European banks are getting some troubles specially Italians because they have not created a bank for bad loans. The ECB (European Central Bank) has to put more money in Italy providing liquidity to the domestic market.
DJIA nor S&P are not in a technical bear market, then the whipsaw are going to continue because S&P could look for SP1,710 which is the 20% correction from the all-time high.
Stock market is bouncing up which is a good new. Japan GDP decreased 1.4% and China exports fell 6.6%.
Dear traders and investors, the market tries to bounce up but it is too early to take a bullish bias, it could be a dead cat bounce.
Good luck, viel Glueck, buona fortuna, buena suerte, bonne chance!
Ulises
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