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miércoles, 31 de agosto de 2016

Potential Upside

DJ Resistance:  18,668     All-time high
                           18,470

DJ Support:      18,351     Old all-time high
                           18,247      August low
                           18,171      April peak
                           18,016      Strong breakout
                           17,700
                           17,579      August 2015 inflection point
                           17,433      June low
                           17,125      Very strong
                           16,933.43 Strong September 2015 high
                           16,667      Inflection point
                           16,520
                           15,980      Very strong
                           15,450      Strong
                           15,370.33 Very strong 2015 low

Technical Analysis:
DJIA near backdrop is slight weaker than S&P but both are attempting to the resistances at the all-time high. This puts the indexes in a bullish mode.
Next supports are DJ18,351 (old all-time high) and DJ18,247 (August low).
DJIA and S&P are in a small range near the highs in the last 7 weeks. Technically the trend points higher.

Please click over the charts to enlarge them.





Fundamentals:
August is ending. The senior traders will be in office in ten days. Monday's bounce was due to higher GDP estimate to 3.5%, it comes from the idea that consumer is in good shape after Personal Income & Outlays report.
ADP: U.S. economy adds +177,000 private-sector jobs in August. Next announcements to pay attention are: ISM Manufacturing, ISM Services and this coming Friday August non-farm payroll and unemployment rate.
Actually, we need to wait for the regular activity in the market after the hard August to begin the trading again.
Dear traders and investors, I think that we are going to get an interest rate increase by the FED in December that means only one this year. It seems to me that the targets DJ18,960 and S&P2,220 are reasonable for the next one or two months.

Good luck, viel Glueck, buona fortuna, buena suerte, bonne chance!
Ulises


1 comentario:

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