DJ Resistance: 19,999.63 All-time high
19,887.38 December peak
DJ Support: 19,810
19,710 Strong
19,396 50Days moving average
19,200 Strong
19,090
18,800
18,668 Old all-time high
18,247 August low
18,000 Strong
17,833.23 November low
17,579 Inflection point
17,125 Very strong
Technical Analysis:
From the second December week to now DJIA has established a range which supports the bull trend. The range-bound is DJ19,710 to 19,999.63. DJ20,000 is capping the bull's efforts.
S&P support in the equivalent range is SP2,234 and SP2,248. S&P has almost the same behavior as the DJIA, it did a shy new high without follow through.
NASDAQ COMPOSITE is leading the uptrend doing new all-time highs constantly.
The backdrop is bullish-leaning after technical analysis.
Please click over the chart to enlarge it.
Fundamentals:
Last Friday earnings season of Q4 started up. Banks like BAC, WFC, and JPM gave positive results announcing a very possible interesting season. This year we are expecting two interest raises by the FED. The inflation is standing at 1.6% which does not menace the possible economic expansion that is a good new. Banks did very well during Trump rally but now it stopped and is waiting for clear signs.
World Bank announced that expects a 2.7% of global growth which is positive for the world especially for U.S.A. and European Community. It expects a stabilization and slightly higher prices for commodities. The downside risk is in the emerging markets if they slowdown its investments and political uncertainty, for example Brazil Lavajato crise. Trump protectionism is another risk for trade.
U.S. dollar is strong and could become stronger with the interest rates hike and EU is doing the contrary to U.S.A relating to political stimulus QE. Both could bring the U.S. dollar to parity with the Euro.
Dear traders and investors, the markets are waiting for the new elected President Mr. Trump's oath on January 20th. and the new congress. I think that we are no get big movement for the moment. The weight is on the upside now. The up or down of the market will be done by earnings season and the corporations optimism for this year, let's see!
Good luck, viel Glueck, buona fortuna, buena suerte, bonne chance!
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