19,987
19,972
DJ
Support: 19,678 January low
19,573 50 Days moving average
19,200 Strong
19,090
18,800
18,668 Old all-time high
18,247 August low
18,000 Strong
17,833.23 November
low
17,579 Inflection point
17,125 Very strong
Technical
Analysis:
S&P
closed in a new all-time high at SP2, 280. This is very positive for the bulls.
The DJIA backdrop is weaker than S&P but after has done a new January low
at DJ19, 678 last week bounced up and it is looking for the DJ20, 000. The last
six weeks range is still valid.
NASDAQ
COMPOSITE got a new all-time high at NAS5, 601.
The three
indexes are bullish-leaning.
Please click over the chart to enlarge it.
Fundamentals:
The new
president is in charge and active. He began his presidency taking some actions
that he promised during the election campaign.
The market
is watching his decisions and actions and trying to identify if there would be
a continuation of Trump rally.
4th.
quarter GNP is expected over +2% and probably 2.8 this coming Friday. Market is
in earnings season and surprises are more positive than negative. Election
promises are to add growth prospects like less regulations, increase
infrastructure spending and lower taxes. All those would generate higher
earnings and possibly higher stock prices.
The market is expecting two or three interest
rates hike this 2017. If strong growth sparks inflation would be negative for
the market. The other risk is the new administration could confront the
European Union, China, Mexico and Canada, if the market sees it as a trade war,
it will sell the long positions to avoid risks and to lose money.
Dear
traders and investors, my opinion is to be bullish with these positive
perspectives paying attention to a possible high inflation and trade war.
Good luck, viel Glueck, buona fortuna, buena suerte, bonne chance!
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