DJ Resistance: 26,616.71 All-time high
26,000
25,835.35 March peak
25,086 May peak
24,876 2017 peak
24,719 2017 close
24,642 50 Days moving average
24,600 20 Days moving average
24,401 200 Days moving average
24,280
24,000 Strong
23,500
23,250 Strong, gap
23,174
23,002 Strong, gap
22,890
22,795
22,420 Strong, breakout
22,119
21,912
21,600
21,535
Technical Analysis:
First semester was hard, the financial indexes did new all-time highs and stayed trapped in a range when they have the potential to go up.
The three indexes bounced up and have a good start in this third trimester. The three have recovered the closing over its 20, 50 and 200 days moving average which is bullish. The Dow Jones Industrial benchmark is the weakest between the three.
DJIA has closed over DJ24,719 (2017 close) and DJ24,876 (2017 peak). It shows a shift to a positive momentum.
Next resistance for S&P is SP2,802 (March peak).
The trend of the indexes is bullish in the intermediate and long term.
Please click over the chart to enlarge it.
Fundamentals:
The last Friday and beginning of the new week's bounce up was originated by Friday's job report. It was positive and showed a growing economy. Dow Jones, S&P and NASDAQ closed higher for 4th. days in a row. Expectations of corporate second quarter earnings weights in the market too.
Tariff concerns were neutralized by the estimation that the tariff hike will cost only 2% of the S&P in earnings growth. That means that the bull market will not be actually affected by the trade war especially when the economy is stimulated by the tax cut and the corporate earnings are growing with expectations of two digits. All that means that the fundamentals look splendid for the country and the price stocks.
Retail sales continues going up, Redbook report indicated same store sales grew at a rate of 5.5% versus last month at 4.4% which is actually brilliant.
Dear traders and investors, I expect indeed an excellent second half of the year based on the tax cut, growing economy and consumption.
Good luck, viel Glueck, buona fortuna, buena suerte, bonne chance!
Ulises
MONEY IS ISN'T EVERTHING BUT EVERYTHING NEEDS MONEY.
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