DJ Resistance: 21,169 All-time high
21,000
DJ Support: 20,800 20 Days moving average
20,743
20,640 Breaking point
20,600 Strong
20,300 50 Days moving average
20,125 Strong January peak
20,000 Very strong
19,800
19,732 Strong
19,678 January low
19,200 Strong
19,090
18,800
18,668 Old all-time high
18,247 August low
18,000 Strong
17,833.23 November low
17,579 Inflection point
17,125 Very strong
Technical Analysis:
DJIA filled the gap and is fighting the DJ19,850 support, next is DJ20,743 and DJ20,600 area. For S&P support is at SP2,351.
March began with a strong breakout doing a new all-time high and the market is trying to consolidate the new backdrop.
The trend points higher in the great-picture barring a violation of supports. The panorama looks bullish.
Please click over the chart to enlarge it.
Fundamentals:
The market is moving to supports to try them and experiences the continuing plunge of oil and the 10 years bond yield came up, from 2.31% p.a. to 2.61%
Last week non-farm payroll and the unemployment rate showed a good economy that put in place high expectations for a rate hike this week after FOMC, this Wednesday 2 p.m. Regularly an increase in the interest rates are negative for the stocks but if the market considers that the FED only increases the interest rates when they find well supported bases to think about a robust economy, the market will welcome the increases. In my opinion it is discounted three rates hike in 2017. Besides, this week we will get important figures especially on Friday like Leading Indicators which means that support will be tested furiosly.
Dear traders and investors, the March interest rate hike is discounted by the market, my opinion stays with a consolidation phase before the next earnings season in April. we do not be surprised if he stock market rises after the FOMC meeting comunication. Be ready at 2 p.m.
Good luck, viel Glueck, buona fortuna, buena suerte, bonne chance!
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