DJ Resistance: 22,179.11 New all-time high
22,000
21,910 20 Days moving average
DJ Support: 21,840
21,682 July peak
21,640 50 Days moving average
21,535 June peak
21,305
21,200
21,115 Strong breakout
20,980
20,800
20,600 200 Days moving average
20,590
20,400 Very strong
20,125 January peak
19,732
19,678 January low
Technical Analysis:
DJIA supported well on supports like DJ21,590 (50 days moving average) - DJ21,682 (July peak) which put the correction and the bounce up in a positive path to the upside according to technical analysis. The correction damage in the DJIA charts are almost irrelevant but conversely with the S&P the case is the contrary, the correction has damaged the charts.
DJ22,000 retest should be an important gauge to assess the bulls and bears. DJIA is the strongest index between the three. DJIA is still over its 50 days moving average instead S&P broke down the same support.
S&P needs to overcome SP2,453 to repair the chart and to put the index on the upside.
DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ COMPOSITE remain firmly bullish in the longer-term.
Please click over the chart to enlarge it.
Fundamentals:
The market got a healthy correction, the markets never go higher and higher forever, they move like the teeth of a saw. The correction is the opportunity to assess your portfolios and rotate some stock if you consider that their growth projection is weak.
In summary the economy is in a solid health, the corporate earnings are growing and the bond rates are so low then the best place to be is in the stock market. It is very possible the markets could do a deeper correction until SP2,400 and DJ21,115.
It is important to watch the consumers because they do 66% of the U.S. economy. Consumer Sentiment figures spiked on last week report, the unemployment rate is near the lows and Redbook weekly retail sales showed solid growth.
All of these indicates that the correction should be limited and the north continues to show a positive landscape.
North Korea and bomb attack in Barcelona are placed in the air during the last three weeks and they affect investors' confidence.
Market is expecting Janet Yellen's participation on Federal Reserve's economic policy simposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming this coming Friday.
Dear traders and investors, the markets are in their summer doldrums and geopolitical have played against them but fundamentals economic strength indicate that there is still room to the upside in the aged bull market.
Good luck, viel Glueck, buona fortuna, buena suerte, bonne chance!
Ulises
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